Thursday, December 18, 2008

Santonio Holmes Confidence Index

At long last it's here, just in time for the final 2 weeks of the 2008 NFL season! The Ross Experience is proud to introduce the Santonio Holmes Confidence Index (patent not pending).


"I'm very confident." -Santonio Holmes
OK, here's how it works. The Santonio Holmes Confidence Index (SHCI) is an objective (read: subjective) measurement of our confidence in Santonio Holmes over time. It's a 10-point scale with the approximate confidence levels:
  • 0.0 - equates to our confidence in the Bengals making the playoffs again in our lifetime
  • 5.0 - equates to our confidence in our ability to accurately predict the result of a coin flip
  • 10.0 - equates to our confidence in the sun rising tomorrow
Currently, the SHCI stands at a 9.5, its highest level since inception, primarily due to the game winning TD catch this past Sunday. That said the recent volatility in the SHCI has been quite high.

Our intention is to post updates regarding this index on the blog whenever there's a significant shift. But for now let's take a look back on the history of the SHCI since inception...

4/29/06 - 3.0
Holmes is drafted 25th overall by the Steelers. Customarily, we would expect the 1st round draft pick to start out at around a 5.0; however, he's an, ahem, "alum" of Ohio State, the institution that's produced the likes of Maurice Clarett, et al.

10/22/06 - 0.5
The SHCI drops it its lowest ever level, as Santonio fumbles a punt for what must've been the 17th time during his rookie campaign. This time it's a costly one, setting up an early Vick TD pass, in what would end up 3-point loss at Atlanta.

12/17/06 - 4.0
Holmes returns a punt 65 yards for a TD in a 37-3 win at Carolina. All those fumbled punts start to fade into distant memories.

12/31/06 - 5.5
Santonio finishes the Steelers' (and the Bengals') season via a 67-yard overtime TD reception.

12/30/07 - 6.0
Holmes closes what can only be described as a solid sophomore campaign with 52 catches for 942 yards and 8 TDs. Plus, only 2 fumbles, neither lost!

9/2/08 - 8.5
We draft Santonio in the 5th round of our fantasy football draft.

10/5/08 - 3.0
We are forced to bench Holmes in our fantasy league due to less-than-adequate 3rd-year performance.

12/14/08 @ 5:17pm - 1.0
Santonio fumbles for the 2nd time in today's game against the Ravens. The SCHI falls dangerously close to its all-time low.

12/14/08 @ 7:28pm - 9.5
The SHCI reaches its highest ever level as Holmes scores the game-winning TD against the Ravens.

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